Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.199298 0.216903 0.235614 0.257023 0.280897 0.306760 0.336980
2026-01-25 0.163832 0.187780 0.214925 0.248161 0.288008 0.334562 0.393533
2026-02-01 0.142955 0.169937 0.201960 0.243148 0.295273 0.359790 0.446873
2026-02-08 0.127334 0.155660 0.190490 0.237060 0.298601 0.378448 0.492082
2026-02-15 0.115887 0.144994 0.181864 0.232809 0.302683 0.397153 0.538097
2026-02-22 0.109444 0.139903 0.179565 0.236089 0.316417 0.429438 0.606084
2026-03-01 0.102338 0.133210 0.174363 0.234588 0.322856 0.451483 0.661064
2026-03-08 0.095627 0.126462 0.168420 0.231287 0.326007 0.468501 0.709748
2026-03-15 0.089065 0.119416 0.161463 0.225782 0.325097 0.478836 0.748360
2026-03-22 0.086710 0.118076 0.162424 0.231886 0.342222 0.518808 0.841427
2026-03-29 0.084063 0.116101 0.162247 0.236120 0.356594 0.555552 0.933671
2026-04-05 0.080512 0.112556 0.159459 0.235982 0.363700 0.580580 1.007654
2026-04-12 0.075651 0.106899 0.153290 0.230268 0.361437 0.589868 1.054568
2026-04-19 0.070817 0.101046 0.146507 0.223119 0.356187 0.593428 1.091069
2026-04-26 0.067054 0.096622 0.141678 0.218817 0.355463 0.605087 1.145816
2026-05-03 0.063375 0.092133 0.136475 0.213486 0.352381 0.611863 1.191021
2026-05-10 0.060327 0.088474 0.132387 0.209753 0.351831 0.623354 1.248268
2026-05-17 0.058862 0.087239 0.132141 0.212636 0.363752 0.660737 1.370900
2026-05-24 0.056671 0.084724 0.129636 0.211318 0.367519 0.681838 1.458475
2026-05-31 0.054332 0.081856 0.126382 0.208416 0.367924 0.695860 1.530905
2026-06-07 0.051794 0.078548 0.122219 0.203576 0.364062 0.700246 1.579293
2026-06-14 0.051227 0.078467 0.123539 0.208943 0.381180 0.752586 1.764947
2026-06-21 0.050398 0.077903 0.123980 0.212663 0.395214 0.799682 1.946554